CONFIDENTIAL
PAGE 01 BEIRUT 04794 141836Z
ACTION NEA-09
FM AMEMBASSY BEIRUT
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3879
CIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE
DIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE
INFO AMEMBASSY AMMAN IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ANKARA IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ATHENS IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY CAIRO IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY PARIS IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ROME IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY TEHRAN IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY TEL AVIV IMMEDIATE
USCINCEUR VAIHINGEN GER
C O N F I D E N T I A L BEIRUT 4794
E.O. 11652: GDS
TAGS: PINS LE PLO
SUBJECT: BEIRUT SITREP - 1500Z
REF: BEIRUT 4749
SUMMARY: ALTHOUGH SITUATION FOR TIME BEING SEEMS QUIETER, BEIRUT CONTINUES TENSE AND SITUATION REMAINS DANGEROUS. UNOFFICIAL LEBANESE CHANNELS OF "RECONCILIATION" HAVE SWUNG INTO ACTION IN EFFORT TO RESOLVE CRISIS. EXPECTED FUNERAL FOR PALESTINIAN "MARTYRS" IN APRIL 13 CLASHES DID NOT RPT NOT TAKE PLACE AT 1000Z ACCORDING TO LEBANESE ARMY G-2 AND THAT HURDLE REMAINS TO BE FACED. EMISSARIES FROM TWO ARAB CAPITALS REPORTEDLY SCHEDULED TO ARRIVE HERE SHORTLY TO HELP CALM SITUATION. ON OTHER HAND, IN VIEW OF REPORT THAT PHALANGISTS PLAN TO BRING HEAVY WEAPONS INTO CAPITAL DURING NIGHT, TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING COULD BRING DANGEROUS ESCALATION OF SITUATION. WE CONTINUE TO HAVE NO REPORTS OF AMCITS INJURED AND INCIDENTS THUS FAR HAVE NOT ASSUMED EXPLICIT ANTI-AMERICAN CHARACTER. END SUMMARY.
1. HARD INFORMATION ON DEVELOPMENTS IN BEIRUT AND OTHER PARTS OF COUNTRY CONTINUES TO BE ELUSIVE. NUMBER OF REPORTED CLASHES, AGAIN CENTERING ON PHALANGE INSTALLATIONS, HAVE BEEN RECEIVED DURING DAY. PHALANGE HEADQUARTERS IN CHARLES HELU ST., NEAR MARTYRS SQUARE IN HEART OF CITY, CAME UNDER ATTACK ABOUT 1000Z AND WAS HIT BY THREE RPG ANTI-TANK ROCKETS, BUT THERE NO INDICATION OF CASUALTIES. IN DOWNTOWN AND HAMRA AREA, BANKS AND OTHER BUSINESSES CLOSED EARLY AND EYE-WITNESSES REPORT LARGE CROWDS AT NEIGHBORHOOD FOOD STORES AS RESIDENTS STOCKED UP FOR POSSIBLE SIEGE.
2. MAIN SURPRISE OF AFTERNOON WAS APPARENT POSTPONEMENT OF PALESTINIAN FUNERAL EXPECTED AT 1000Z. LEBANESE ARMY G-2, WHO REPORTED FUNERAL WAS NON-EVENT, SAID GOL DOES NOT RPT NOT KNOW WHY IT DID NOT TAKE PLACE. PALESTINIANS APPARENTLY DID PICK UP BODIES OF SLAIN COMPATRIOTS FROM QUARANTINA HOSPITAL (AT LEAST ONE PHALANGIST REPORTED KILLED IN ACCOMPANYING FRAY). AMERICAN CORRESPONDENT, HOWEVER, REPORTED HEARING RUMOR AT ABOUT 1200Z THAT FUNERAL MIGHT BE POSTPONED UNTIL APR 15 TO PROVIDE TIME FOR PALESTINIANS AND LEFTIST FORCES TO DO IT UP RIGHT. CONSEQUENTLY, POSTPONEMENT, WHICH BENDS COMMON MUSLIM BURIAL PRACTICE, MIGHT PORTEND EVEN MORE DISRUPTIVE PROCEEDINGS TOMORROW. PROBABLY NO ONE KNOWS EXTENT OF CASUALTIES FROM TODAY'S ALTERCATIONS BUT ONE LOCAL NEWSPAPER SOURCE REPORTS MINIMUM OF SEVEN (WE SUSPECT MORE) KILLED, WITH FOUR DEATHS OCCURRING IN AIN RAMANNEH AS RESULT OF ANTI-TANK ROCKETS.
3. RADIO LEBANON AT 1000Z REPORTED 14 PERSONS (UNIDENTIFIED BUT PRESUMABLY PHALANGISTS) WERE IN GOL CUSTODY ON CHARGES OF PROVOKING ORIGINAL INCIDENTS ON SUNDAY. PM SOLH HAD REPORTEDLY GIVEN PHALANGIST LEADER, PIERRE GEMAYEL, UNTIL THIS MORNING TO TURN OVER THOSE GUILTY. WE REMAIN SKEPTICAL THAT EITHER PHALANGE SURRENDERED MEMBERS OR GOL SEIZED THEM, ALTHOUGH IT CANNOT BE EXCLUDED THAT SOME ARMED MEN ON PERIPHERY OF ACTION HAVE BEEN PICKED UP. LIKEWISE, WE DISCOUNT REPORT WE HAVE RECEIVED THAT PALESTINIANS HAVE TURNED OVER TO GOL SEVEN FEDAYEEN IMPLICATED IN SUNDAY'S CLASHES.
4. WE HAVE HEARD PHALANGE MILITIA INTENDS TO BRING MACHINE-GUNS, ROCKETS AND MORTARS INTO BEIRUT TONIGHT TO REINFORCE THEIR POSITIONS. IT IS ALSO RUMORED THAT FORMER PRES CHAMOUN'S "TIGERS" PRESENTLY SETTING UP MORTARS JUST BELOW BEIT MERI TO PROVIDE PALESTINIANS IN TEL ZAARTAR CAMP, WHO HAVE APPARENTLY SPENT DAY BOMBARDING SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS, WITH DEMONSTRATION IN FIRE POWER.
5. GOL, PROMINENT POLITICAL FIGURES AND POSSIBLY "MODERATE" FEDAYEEN LEADERSHIP HAVE APPARENTLY SWUNG INTO ACTION DURING DAY IN EFFORT TO CONTAIN SITUATION. SAEB SALAM TOLD AMB MORNING APR 14 THAT HE HAD BEEN IN TOUCH IN LAST 24 HOURS WITH PIERRE GEMAYEL AND INDICATED OTHER SIMILAR CONSULTATIONS WERE TAKING PLACE. SALAM, HOWEVER, BLAMING NOT ONLY PHALANGE FOR SITUATION BUT ENTIRE GOVT FOR LACK OF LEADERSHIP. ARAFAT HAS ALLEGEDLY RETURNED FROM DAMASCUS AND HELD DISCUSSIONS WITH GOL LEADERS AND IS SCHEDULED TO MEET TONIGHT WITH ARAB AMBS HERE. MOROCCAN AMB TOLD AMB TODAY THAT PRES ASSAD OF SYRIA HAD DISPATCHED SPECIAL EMISSARY TO BEIRUT TO TELL SYRIANS, INCLUDING PRESUMABLY SAIQA, TO COOL IT. WE HAVE JUST HEARD REPORT THAT ARAB LEAGUE SYG MAHMUD RIAD BEARING MESSAGE FROM SADAT IS ARRIVING BEIRUT THIS EVENING TO CALM PARTIES TO DISPUTE.
6. FEW ADDITIONAL DETAILS RE EVENTS WHICH SPARKED PRESENT CONFRONTATION ARE AVAILABLE. WE HAVE HEARD TWO OF FOUR PERSONS IN SECOND CAR (REFTEL PARA 2) WHICH ALLEGEDLY FIRED ON PHALANGISTS IN AIN RAMANNEH WERE IN FACT LIBYANS. IN ADDITION, IRAQ-SUPPORTED ARAB LIBERATION FRONT (ALF) HAS NOW ISSUED STATEMENT ASSERTING THAT 18 OF PALESTINIANS KILLED ON BUS WERE ITS MEMBERS. INVOLVEMENT OF SUCH ELEMENTS IF TRUE (AND CONCEIVABLY EVEN IF NOT) MIGHT PRESENT GOL AND "MODERATE" PLO LEADERSHIPS WITH INGREDIENTS, IF BOTH SIDES REALLY DESIRE, FOR "NO WIN, NO LOSS" SOLUTION. THIS REMAINS, HOWEVER, TO BE SEEN.
7. ALL AMCITS CONTINUE TO BE SAFE SO FAR AS WE AWARE. THERE IS LITTLE EVIDENCE THAT UGLY MOOD IN TOWN HAS ASSUMED ANTI-AMERICAN CHARACTER, ALTHOUGH THIS COULD HAPPEN IF SITUATION DETERIORATES. AS DEPT AWARE WE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE PHALANGE IN THE EYES OF SOME LEBANESE. WE HAVE BEEN INFORMING EMBASSY STAFF (NON-ESSENTIAL MEMBERS OF WHICH DISMISSED AT 1400Z) AND INQUIRING AMCITS TO STAY HOME.
8. ELSEWHERE IN COUNTRY SITUATION REMAINS AS REPORTED REFTEL. ALL ROADS INTO BEIRUT REMAIN OPEN AT THIS TIME WITH EXCEPTION OF SIDON ROAD WHICH PROBLEMATIC.
9. EMBASSY MAINTAINING NORMAL DUTY SCHEDULE TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE OUR LAST SITREP UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING UNLESS SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS REQUIRE REPORT PRIOR THAT TIME.
GODLEY
CONFIDENTIAL NNN
Originally classified CONFIDENTIAL · Declassified and released by U.S. Department of State under EO Systematic Review, 05 July 2006 · Now UNCLASSIFIED
Summary
Although the situation for the time being seems quieter, Beirut continues tense and the situation remains dangerous. Unofficial Lebanese channels of “reconciliation” have swung into action in an effort to resolve the crisis. The expected funeral for Palestinian “martyrs” in the April 13 clashes did not take place at 1000Z according to Lebanese Army G-2,[1] and that hurdle remains to be faced. Emissaries from two Arab capitals are reportedly scheduled to arrive shortly to help calm the situation. On the other hand, in view of a report that Phalangists plan to bring heavy weapons into the capital during the night, tonight and tomorrow morning could bring a dangerous escalation. We continue to have no reports of American citizens injured and incidents thus far have not assumed an explicit anti-American character.
1.
Hard information on developments in Beirut and other parts of the country continues to be elusive. A number of reported clashes, again centering on Phalange installations, have been received during the day. The Phalange headquarters on Charles Helu Street, near Martyrs Square[2] in the heart of the city, came under attack at approximately 1000Z [10:00 AM GMT] and was hit by three RPG anti-tank rockets, with no indication of casualties. In the downtown and Hamra area, banks and other businesses closed early, and eyewitnesses report large crowds at neighborhood food stores as residents stocked up for a possible siege.
2.
The main surprise of the afternoon was the apparent postponement of the Palestinian funeral expected at 1000Z. Lebanese Army G-2 reported the funeral was a non-event, stating that the GOL does not know why it did not take place. Palestinians apparently did pick up the bodies of slain compatriots from Quarantina Hospital (at least one Phalangist reportedly killed in the accompanying confrontation). An American correspondent reported hearing at approximately 1200Z that the funeral might be postponed until April 15 to provide time for Palestinians and leftist forces to “do it up right.”[3] Consequently, the postponement — which bends common Muslim burial practice — might portend even more disruptive proceedings tomorrow. One local newspaper source reports a minimum of seven killed (we suspect more), with four deaths occurring in Ain Ramanneh as a result of anti-tank rockets.
3.
Radio Lebanon at 1000Z reported 14 persons — unidentified but presumably Phalangists — were in GOL custody on charges of provoking the original incidents on Sunday. Prime Minister Solh had reportedly given Phalangist leader Pierre Gemayel until this morning to turn over those guilty. We remain skeptical that either the Phalange surrendered members or the GOL seized them, although it cannot be excluded that some armed men on the periphery of the action have been picked up. Likewise, we discount a report we have received that Palestinians turned over to the GOL seven fedayeen implicated in Sunday’s clashes.[4]
4.
We have heard that the Phalange militia intends to bring machine-guns, rockets, and mortars into Beirut tonight to reinforce their positions. It is also rumored that former President Chamoun’s “Tigers”[5] are presently setting up mortars just below Beit Meri[6] to provide Palestinians in Tel Zaartar camp — who have apparently spent the day bombarding surrounding neighborhoods — with a demonstration of fire power.[7]
5.
The GOL, prominent political figures, and possibly the “moderate” fedayeen leadership have apparently swung into action during the day in an effort to contain the situation. Saeb Salam[8] told the Ambassador this morning that he had been in touch over the last 24 hours with Pierre Gemayel and indicated other similar consultations were taking place. Salam, however, is blaming not only the Phalange for the situation but the entire government for a lack of leadership. Arafat has allegedly returned from Damascus and held discussions with GOL leaders and is scheduled to meet tonight with Arab ambassadors. The Moroccan ambassador told the Ambassador today that President Assad of Syria[9] had dispatched a special emissary to Beirut to tell Syrians — including, presumably, Saiqa[10] — to “cool it.” We have just heard a report that Arab League Secretary-General Mahmud Riad, bearing a message from Sadat,[11] is arriving Beirut this evening to calm the parties to the dispute.
6.
Few additional details regarding the events that sparked the present confrontation are available. We have heard that two of the four persons in the second car — referenced in paragraph 2 of Beirut 4749 — which allegedly fired on Phalangists in Ain Ramanneh were in fact Libyan nationals.[12] In addition, the Iraq-supported Arab Liberation Front (ALF)[13] has now issued a statement asserting that 18 of the Palestinians killed on the bus were its members.[14] The involvement of such elements — if true, and conceivably even if not — might present the GOL and “moderate” PLO leadership with ingredients, if both sides really desire, for a “no win, no loss” solution. This remains, however, to be seen.
7.
All American citizens continue to be safe as far as we are aware. There is little evidence that the ugly mood in town has assumed an anti-American character, although this could happen if the situation deteriorates. As the Department is aware, we are associated with the Phalange in the eyes of some Lebanese.[15] We have been informing Embassy staff — non-essential members of which were dismissed at 1400Z — and inquiring American citizens to stay home.
8 & 9.
Elsewhere in the country the situation remains as reported in the reference cable. All roads into Beirut remain open at this time with the exception of the Sidon road. The Embassy is maintaining a normal duty schedule tonight. This will be our last situation report until tomorrow morning unless significant developments require a report prior to that time.
GODLEY[16]