CONFIDENTIAL
PAGE 01 BEIRUT 04749 141247Z
ACTION NEA-09
FM AMEMBASSY BEIRUT
TO SECSTATE WASHDC NIACT IMMEDIATE 3862
INFO DIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE
USCINCEUR IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS IMMEDIATE
TEL AVIV IMMEDIATE 5741
AMEMBASSY AMMAN IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ANKARA IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ATHENS IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY TEHRAN IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ROME IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY PARIS IMMEDIATE
C O N F I D E N T I A L BEIRUT 4749
E.O. 11652: GDS
TAGS: PINS LE PLO
SUBJECT: BEIRUT TENSE IN AFTERMATH APRIL 13 CLASHES BETWEEN PHALANGE AND PALESTINIANS
SUMMARY: SITUATION TENSE AND UNCERTAIN IN BEIRUT FOLLOWING CLASHES SUNDAY APR 13 BETWEEN MILITIA OF CHRISTIAN PHALANGE PARTY AND PALESTINIANS IN AIN RAMANNEH SUBURB. SPORADIC FIRING AND EXPLOSIONS OCCURRED THROUGHOUT NIGHT AND EARLY APR 14 AS GOL SOUGHT TO STABILIZE SITUATION WITH LITTLE APPARENT SUCCESS THUS FAR. ALL AMCINS SAFE TO OUR KNOWLEDGE. NEXT MAJOR TEST OF FRAGILE PUBLIC ORDER WILL OCCUR AT 1000Z TODAY, WHEN FUNERAL FOR UP TO 35 PALESTINIANS KILLED (FIGURES VARY FROM 27 UPWARD) IS SCHEDULED TO TAKE PLACE. PRESENT CRISIS, OCCURRING AGAINST BACKGROUND OF GOL WEAKNESS AND DIVISION, HAS DISTURBING POETNTIAL. END SUMMARY.
1. ON BASIS OF FRAGMENTARY AND FREQUENTLY CONFLICTING NEWS ACCOUNTS AND RUMORS, APR 13 INCIDENTS WHICH SPARKED CRISIS WERE AS FOLLOWS: PHALANGIST LEADER, PIERRE GEMAYEL AND FORMER PRES CAMILLE CHAMOUN ATTENDED MASS SUNDAY MORNING AT CHURCH IN AIN RAMANNEH WITH BOTH PHALANGE MILITIA AND GOL POLICE IN VICINITY. AT APPROXIMATELY 0800Z, VOLKSWAGEN DRIVEN BY PALESTINIAN (ALLEGEDLY BELONGING TO PDFLP) DROVE NEAR CHURCH AND WAS ASKED BY POLICEMAN NOT RPT NOT TO USE STREET ON WHICH CHURCH LOCATED. AFTER ALTERCATION (IN WHICH SOME ACCOUNTS CLAIM DRIVER WAS DISARMED AFTER THREATENING POLICEMAN), VOLKSWAGEN DEPARTED.
2. SOME TIME LATER (0930Z BY SOME ACCOUNTS), ANOTHER VEHICLE CARRYING FOUR ARMED PALESTINIANS ENTERED AREA AND SPRAYED BY-STANDERS WITH MACHINE-GUN FIRE, FATALLY WOUNDING THREE MEMBERS OF PHALANGE MILITIA, BEFORE SPEEDING AWAY. AT APPROXIMATELY 1100Z, BUS LOADED WITH PALESTINIANS (AFFILIATION AS YET UNDETERMINED) APPROACHED AREA RETURNING FROM CEREMONIES IN SHATILA CAMP TO TEL ZAARTAR CAMP. IT POSSIBLE THAT PRESENCE OF BUS WAS ACCIDENTAL, BUT PHALANGE OPENED UP ON TARGET, REPORTEDLY KILLING 26 OF THOSE ABOARD.
3. AS NEWS OF INCIDENT SPREAD, FIRING AND EXPLOSIONS WERE HEARD IN VARIOUS PARTS OF CITY (AIN RAMANNEH, SHIAH, FURN AS SHUBAK, DEKWANI, GHOBEIRI) THROUGHOUT EVENING AND INTO MORNING. BARRICADES WERE ALLEGEDLY ERECTED IN SINN AL FIL. APPROX 15 ROCKETS WERE FIRED FROM BORJ AL BARAJNEH REFUGEE CAMP INTO LARGELY CHRISTIAN SUBURB OF HARET HREIK, APPARENTLY WITH LOCAL PHALANGE OFFICE AS PRIMARY TARGET. STORE BELONGING TO PHALANGE NOTABLE, NAUM ABI-RASHED, WAS BLOWN UP AND FACTORY NEAR SITE OF ORIGINAL INCIDENTS CURRENTLY BURNING. DURING NIGHT, INCIDENTS (SOME UNCONFIRMED) WERE REPORTED IN VARIOUS PARTS OF CITY, PARTICULARLY IN AREAS IN VICINITY OF PHALANGE OFFICES. ONE OF MOST SERIOUS INCIDENTS HAPPENED IN AREA OF STARCO CENTER AND WE HAVE EYE-WITNESS ACCOUNT OF FIRING IN VICINITY OF HOLIDAY INN, SEVERAL BLOCKS FROM STARCO. THIS ALTERCATION APPARENTLY BEGAN WHEN TWO PERSONS (SUBSEQUENTLY KILLED BY PHALANGE GUARDS) OPENED FIRE ON PHALANGE OFFICE NEAR STARCO.
4. AS OF APR 14 0900Z, SITUATION IN BEIRUT IS TENSE AND POPULATION APPEARS BE BRACING FOR FURTHER TROUBLE, PARTICULARLY AS TIME FOR PALESTINIAN FUNERAL (1000Z) APPROACHES. ANTICIPATED GIGANTIC GATHERING OF MOURNERS, STIRRED BY PREDICTABLE PALESTINIAN ASSERTION THAT PHALANGE BEARS ENTIRE BLAME FOR INCIDENTS, COULD EASILY SET ESCALATION OF FIGHTING IN ALREADY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN MOTION. WE HAVE WARNED EMBASSY PERSONNEL TO RESTRICT THEIR MOVEMENTS (ALTHOUGH NO RPT NO DECISION TO CLOSE EMBASSY HAS BEEN TAKEN AT THIS TIME) AND ARE PROVIDING SIMILAR ADVICE TO NON-OFFICIAL AMCITS WHO INQUIRE. WE HAVE LIKEWISE ADVISED AMERICAN COMMUNITY SCHOOL TO SUSPEND CLASSES AT 0900Z TODAY TO PERMIT CHILDREN TO REGAIN THEIR HOMES BEFORE LARGE CROWDS GATHER FOR FUNERAL PROCESSION. AT PRESENT TIME, SPORADIC SHOOTING IN VARIOUS PARTS OF TOWN CONTINUES. USIS REGIONAL SERVICE CENTER IN SINN AL FIL REPORTS FIRING GENERALIZED IN AREA AND HAS CLOSED DOWN. WE ALSO HAVE REPORTS FROM SEVERAL SOURCES THAT GENERAL FIRE-FIGHT TAKING PLACE IN VICINITY OF AIRPORT CIRCLE NEAR PHALANGE HEADQUARTERS ALTHOUGH ROUTE TO AIRPORT AND AIRPORT ITSELF OPENED ACCORDING LAST REPORT. CLASHES APPARENTLY ERUPTED THIS MORNING WHEN PALESTINIANS MARCHED TO NEARBY QUARANTINA HOSPITAL, WHERE PALESTINIAN DEAD WERE TAKEN AFTER YESTERDAY'S FIGHTING, TO CLAIM BODIES FOR FUNERAL. WE HAVE LITTLE INFO RE SITUATION IN OTHER PARTS OF COUNTRY, ALTHOUGH THERE ARE REPORTS OF DEMONSTRATION IN TRIPOLI AND COASTAL ROAD SOUTH HAS BEEN CUT AT SIDON.
5. COMMENT: PHALANGE RELATIONS WITH FEDAYEEN HAVE BEEN SUBJECT TO SERIES OF UPS AND DOWNS SINCE LARGE-SCALE CONFRONTATION OF 1969. DEPT WILL RECALL KAHALE INCIDENT OF EARLY 1970 WHEN PHALANGE AMBUSHED PALESTINIAN FUNERAL PROCESSION AND CRISIS WHICH ENSUED. PRESENT CONFRONTATION, HOWEVER, IS MOST SERIOUS OF ITS KIND IN LAST TWO YEARS, THE MORE SO AS KAMAL JUMBLATT AND OTHER "PROGRESSIVE" SPOKESMAN HAVE NOW CALLED FOR WITHDRAWAL OF TWO PHALANGE MINISTERS FROM ALREADY ENFEEBLED RASHID SOLH GOVT. SOLH CABINET HAS BEEN, OVER LAST WEEK OR MORE, DEFENDING ITS PERFORMANCE IN FACE OF STRONG ATTACKS IN PARLIAMENT AND WAS, UNTIL LATEST DEVELOPMENTS, EXPECTED TO WIN VOTE OF CONFIDENCE APR 15 BY 58 TO 65 VOTES. WE SUSPECT THAT DEBATE AND VOTE WILL NOT OCCUR IN LIGHT OF SERIOUS SITUATION IN COUNTRY. NEVERTHELESS, IT HAS BEEN COMBINATION OF JUMBLATT AND GEMAYEL WHICH HAS PROVIDED SUPPORT FOR SOLH GOVT AND ON WHICH PROJECTIONS OF CABINET'S SURVIVABILITY WERE BASED. CONSEQUENTLY, APPARENT OPEN BREAK BETWEEN JUMBLATT AND GEMAYEL PILLARS WILL GREATLY UNDERCUT GOVT'S ABILITY TO DEAL FIRMLY AND CONFIDENTLY WITH PRESENT CRISIS.
6. WE BELIEVE CURRENT CRISIS ALSO ACQUIRES GREATER DEGREE OF SERIOUSNESS AS RESULT OF SEVERAL OTHER FACTORS CONVERGING AT THIS TIME: A) RECENT INFLAMMATION OF CONFESSIONAL DIVISIONS AS RESULT OF INCIDENTS IN SIDON LAST MONTH; B) LIKELY NEUTRALIZATION OF ARMY AND SECURITY FORCES AS RESULT THEIR EXPERIENCE IN SIDON AND POSSIBILITY THAT THEY WILL NOT BE DIRECTED TO ACT DECISIVELY IN CURRENT CRISIS (E.G., WE HAVE UNCONFIRMED REPORT THAT SQUAD 16 FORCES IN AREA OF AIRPORT CIRCLE FIGHTING HAVE ORDERS TO STAND ASIDE); C) PRES FRANGIE'S CONVALESCENCE IN AMERICAN UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL FROM GALL BLADDER OPERATION PERFORMED APR 12; AND D) LIKELIHOOD THAT, AS LAST NIGHT'S EVENTS DEMONSTRATE, CLASHES OF THIS KIND COULD EASILY DEGENERATE INTO GENERALIZED HIT-AND-RUN STRIKES WHICH WOULD ALMOST INEVITABLY INVOLVE FOREIGN RESIDENTS OF CITY.
7. DENOUEMENT OF CRISIS WILL UNQUESTIONABLY DEPEND UPON RESOLVE AND GOOD SENSE OF GOL AND PLO LEADERSHIPS AND THEIR ABILITY TO CONTROL ARMED ELEMENTS WHICH HAVE NOW ESCAPED PANDORA'S BOX. IT WILL ALSO AS IN PAST PROBABLY DEPEND ON EFFORTS OF LEADING POLITICAL LEADERS AND PALESTINIANS. GOL, ACCORDING FEW CONVERSATIONS WE'VE HAD ARE EXTREMELY CONCERNED ABOUT SITUATION AND ITS POTENTIAL FOR SPARKING CIVIL STRIFE INVOLVING PALESTINIANS. SO FAR THEIR EFFORTS APPEAR FOCUSED ON CONTAINING THE SITUATION. ACCORDING RADIO GOL HAS JUST ARRESTED 14 PERSONS (IDENTITY UNKNOWN). MEANWHILE, ARAFAT AND OTHER PLO LEADERS HAVE REPORTEDLY BEEN INVEIGHING OTHER ARAB STATES, DIRECTLY AND THROUGH LOCAL ARAB AMBASSADORS, TO BRING PRESSURE ON GOL TO PUNISH PHALANGIST "CULPRITS". IN SHORT, TO THIS MOMENT, ELEMENTS OF "LEBANESE SOLUTION" TO CRISIS ARE NOT RPT NOT APPARENT.
8. ALL AMCITS SAFE TO OUR KNOWLEDGE.
GODLEY
CONFIDENTIAL NNN
Originally classified CONFIDENTIAL · Declassified and released by U.S. Department of State under EO Systematic Review, 05 July 2006 · Now UNCLASSIFIED
Summary
Situation tense and uncertain in Beirut following clashes on Sunday, April 13, between the militia of the Christian Phalange Party and Palestinians in the Ain Ramanneh suburb. Sporadic firing and explosions occurred throughout the night and early April 14 as the GOL sought to stabilize the situation with little apparent success thus far. All American citizens [AMCITS] safe to our knowledge.[1] The next major test of fragile public order will occur at 1000Z [10:00 AM Greenwich Mean Time] today, when the funeral for up to 35 Palestinians killed — figures vary from 27 upward — is scheduled to take place. The present crisis, occurring against a background of GOL weakness and division, has disturbing potential.[2]
1.
On the basis of fragmentary and frequently conflicting news accounts and rumors, the April 13 incidents which sparked the crisis were as follows: Phalangist leader Pierre Gemayel[3] and former President Camille Chamoun[4] attended mass Sunday morning at a church in Ain Ramanneh, with both Phalange militia and GOL police in the vicinity. At approximately 0800Z [8:00 AM GMT], a Volkswagen driven by a Palestinian — allegedly belonging to the PDFLP[5] — drove near the church and was asked by a policeman not to use the street on which the church was located. After an altercation — in which some accounts claim the driver was disarmed after threatening the policeman — the Volkswagen departed.
2.
Some time later — at approximately 0930Z [9:30 AM GMT] by some accounts — another vehicle carrying four armed Palestinians entered the area and sprayed bystanders with machine-gun fire, fatally wounding three members of the Phalange militia, before speeding away.[6] At approximately 1100Z [11:00 AM GMT], a bus loaded with Palestinians — affiliation as yet undetermined — approached the area, returning from ceremonies at Shatila camp[7] to Tel Zaartar camp.[8] It is possible that the presence of the bus was accidental,[9] but the Phalange opened up on the target, reportedly killing 26 of those aboard.
3.
As news of the incident spread, firing and explosions were heard in various parts of the city — Ain Ramanneh, Shiah, Furn as Shubak, Dekwani, Ghobeiri — throughout the evening and into the morning. Barricades were allegedly erected in Sinn al Fil. Approximately 15 rockets were fired from Borj al Barajneh refugee camp[10] into the largely Christian suburb of Haret Hreik, apparently with the local Phalange office as primary target.[11] A store belonging to Phalange notable Naum Abi-Rashed was blown up, and a factory near the site of the original incidents is currently burning. During the night, incidents — some unconfirmed — were reported in various parts of the city, particularly in areas in the vicinity of Phalange offices. One of the most serious incidents occurred in the area of the Starco Center,[12] and we have an eyewitness account of firing in the vicinity of the Holiday Inn,[13] several blocks from Starco. This altercation apparently began when two persons — subsequently killed by Phalange guards — opened fire on a Phalange office near Starco.
4.
As of April 14, 0900Z [9:00 AM GMT], the situation in Beirut is tense and the population appears to be bracing for further trouble, particularly as the time for the Palestinian funeral (1000Z) approaches. The anticipated gigantic gathering of mourners, stirred by the predictable Palestinian assertion that the Phalange bears entire blame for the incidents,[14] could easily set an escalation of fighting in the already unstable atmosphere in motion. We have warned Embassy personnel to restrict their movements — although no decision to close the Embassy has been taken at this time — and are providing similar advice to non-official American citizens [AMCITS] who inquire. We have likewise advised the American Community School to suspend classes at 0900Z to permit children to regain their homes before large crowds gather for the funeral procession. At the present time, sporadic shooting in various parts of town continues. The USIS Regional Service Center in Sinn al Fil reports firing generalized in the area and has closed down. We also have reports from several sources that a general fire-fight is taking place in the vicinity of Airport Circle near Phalange headquarters, although the route to the airport and the airport itself are open according to the last report. Clashes apparently erupted this morning when Palestinians marched to nearby Quarantina Hospital — where Palestinian dead were taken after yesterday's fighting — to claim bodies for the funeral.[15] We have little information regarding the situation in other parts of the country, although there are reports of a demonstration in Tripoli and the coastal road south has been cut at Sidon.
5. — Comment
Phalange relations with the fedayeen[16] have been subject to a series of ups and downs since the large-scale confrontation of 1969.[17] The Department [of State] will recall the Kahale incident of early 1970, when the Phalange ambushed a Palestinian funeral procession and the crisis which ensued.[18] The present confrontation, however, is the most serious of its kind in the last two years — the more so as Kamal Jumblatt[19] and other “progressive” spokesmen have now called for the withdrawal of two Phalange ministers from the already enfeebled Rashid Solh government.[20] The Solh cabinet has been, over the last week or more, defending its performance in the face of strong attacks in Parliament and was, until the latest developments, expected to win a vote of confidence on April 15 by 58 to 65 votes. We suspect that the debate and vote will not occur in light of the serious situation in the country. Nevertheless, it has been the combination of Jumblatt and Gemayel which has provided support for the Solh government and on which projections of the cabinet’s survivability were based. Consequently, the apparent open break between these Jumblatt and Gemayel pillars will greatly undercut the government’s ability to deal firmly and confidently with the present crisis.
6.
We believe the current crisis also acquires a greater degree of seriousness as a result of several other factors converging at this time:
A) The recent inflammation of confessional [sectarian] divisions as a result of incidents in Sidon last month;[21]
B) The likely neutralization of the army and security forces as a result of their experience in Sidon, and the possibility that they will not be directed to act decisively in the current crisis.[22] (We have an unconfirmed report that Squad 16 forces in the area of Airport Circle fighting have orders to stand aside;[23])
C) President Frangieh’s[24] convalescence in the American University Hospital from a gall bladder operation performed April 12; and
D) The likelihood that, as last night’s events demonstrate, clashes of this kind could easily degenerate into generalized hit-and-run strikes which would almost inevitably involve foreign residents of the city.
7.
The denouement of this crisis will unquestionably depend upon the resolve and good sense of the GOL and PLO leaderships and their ability to control armed elements which have now “escaped Pandora’s Box.” It will also, as in the past, probably depend on efforts of leading political leaders and Palestinians. The GOL, according to the few conversations we have had, is extremely concerned about the situation and its potential for sparking civil strife involving Palestinians. So far their efforts appear focused on containing the situation. According to radio, the GOL has just arrested 14 persons (identity unknown). Meanwhile, Arafat[25] and other PLO leaders have reportedly been lobbying [original: “inveighing”] other Arab states, directly and through local Arab ambassadors, to bring pressure on the GOL to punish Phalangist “culprits.”[26] In short, to this moment, the elements of a “Lebanese solution”[27] to the crisis are not apparent.
8.
All American citizens [AMCITS] safe to our knowledge.
GODLEY[28]